The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%46.13%44.30%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.772.092.152.2056.50%47.79%46.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV +10.52%
Edge +5.26%
Kelly +10.52%
Growth +1.11%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%53.87%55.70%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.672.0061.73%58.35%59.88%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local): 44.74%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 55.26%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -20.81%E -11.76%K -27.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +10.52%E +5.26%K +10.52%G +1.11%6.5%2026-04-05 18:00
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.85%E -2.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 17:23
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -2.47%E -1.13%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 17:50
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.81%E -1.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 16:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 17:49
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -4.26%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -8.82%E -5.35%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:34
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.57%E -0.715%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.48%E -6.47%K -16.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.