The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Norfolk Tides

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 62.54%1.60fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%62.13%62.78%63.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.501.5567.57%66.28%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.95%37.87%37.22%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.482.502.5643.10%40.34%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local): 62.54%; Norfolk Tides (Visit): 37.46%. For Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -3.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -13.10%E -5.65%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.31%E -2.82%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 15:39
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -5.56%E -3.68%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -9.35%E -3.86%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.19%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.19%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.23%E -2.07%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 16:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:19
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 17:28
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.44%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.