The School of Odds
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Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Memphis Redbirds

2026-07-31 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.05%46.95%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.982.002.0051.28%50.44%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 53.00%1.89fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.95%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8057.80%56.54%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local): 47.00%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 53.00%. For Memphis Redbirds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -4.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 15:10
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 15:09
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 15:35
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 15:31
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 15:25
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 19:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:26
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.36%E -4.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.