The School of Odds

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Durham Bulls

2026-07-09 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.23%56.87%56.92%57.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.651.6762%60%60%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%43.13%43.08%43.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.122.172.172.2147%46%46%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:06
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:33
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.81%E -2.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:24
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.26%E -3.88%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 15:34
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.69%E -4.10%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 16:54
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.