The School of Odds

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Durham Bulls

2026-07-10 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -7.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.44%55.97%55.99%56.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.681.681.6960%60%60%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 44.00%2.27fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.03%44.01%44.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.092.132.142.1548%47%47%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 15:29
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.28%E -2.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 15:44
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.84%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -8.04%E -3.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 17:25
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 16:14
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -7.04%E -4.24%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.