Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Durham Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -0.160%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.35%52.12%56.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.801.9160.24%56.10%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.558%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%47.65%47.88%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.952.1254.64%50.83%51.28%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -13.23%E -7.97%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV +1.18%E +0.558%K +1.06%G +0.012%7.4%2026-07-10 15:44
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 21:07
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:25
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 21:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 21:25
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 20:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:04
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.160%E -0.084%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.66%E -6.92%K -15.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.