Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Durham Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 55.94%1.79fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -7.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.44%55.99%55.99%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.681.681.6960.61%59.61%59.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 44.06%2.27fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%44.01%44.01%44.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.132.142.1547.85%46.92%46.73%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 16:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.15%E -2.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 16:55
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.02%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.71%E -2.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 16:40
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.02%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.91%E -3.79%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 17:20
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.94%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 18:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.58%E -3.94%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 20:09
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.71%E -2.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.