The School of Odds

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Durham Bulls

2026-07-11 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%53.11%53.05%53.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.771.7858%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Durham Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%46.89%46.95%47.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0051%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 11:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:29
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:41
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:49
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.