The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Charlotte Knights

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%46.85%46.95%47.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0251.28%50.20%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Knights (Visit)

Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -7.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.55%53.15%53.05%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.761.771.7858.14%56.89%56.50%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local): 46.98%; Charlotte Knights (Visit): 53.02%. For Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -5.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.81%E -5.12%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:24
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:15
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:23
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.28%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:24
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.91%E -4.04%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.