The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp v Charlotte Knights

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local)

Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV +0.038%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.048%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.15%55.60%55.99%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.691.7860.61%58.61%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Knights (Visit)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%44.40%44.01%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.132.2151.55%47.76%47.06%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local): 56.20%; Charlotte Knights (Visit): 43.80%. For Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.779. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.780, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.038%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV +0.038%E +0.021%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -15.03%E -7.75%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 18:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.524%E -0.296%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:04
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -11.53%E -5.71%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:14
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.