Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs v St. Paul Saints

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 23:38 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 43.10%2.32fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%43.14%43.15%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.172.172.2046.95%45.99%46.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Paul Saints (Visit)

Prediction 56.90%1.76fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%56.86%56.85%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.661.671.6761.35%60.24%59.88%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:21
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.17%E -2.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.55%E -3.34%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 23:09
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.47%E -2.98%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.26%E -4.45%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 21:54
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.33%E -3.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.98%E -2.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:33
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -8.19%E -3.84%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.35%EV -6.12%E -3.71%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.