The School of Odds

Iowa Cubs v St. Paul Saints

2026-07-11 23:08 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.80%45.69%45.91%46.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.042.052.0750%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

St. Paul Saints (Visit)

Prediction 54.09%1.85fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -7.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%54.31%54.09%55.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.741.7560%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.97%E -2.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 13:45
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.42%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 11:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.