The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Cubs v Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 18:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 37.17%2.69fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.915%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.27%37.07%38.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.512.502.6541.15%39.86%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit)

Prediction 62.83%1.59fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.21%62.73%62.93%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.501.5468.03%66.42%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Cubs (Local): 37.17%; Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit): 62.83%. For Iowa Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.51%E -0.570%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:45
FanDuel2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -4.85%E -1.90%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:54
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.63%E -5.19%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.86%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.01%E -4.73%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:14
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.86%E -2.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 15:15
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.07%EV -9.31%E -3.82%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:14
BetOnline.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.24%E -2.10%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.