The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Cubs v Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Kickoff: 2026-07-30 23:38 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 52.87%1.89fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%52.89%52.95%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8258.48%56.46%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit)

Prediction 47.13%2.12fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%47.11%47.05%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.982.0452.36%50.68%50.51%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Cubs (Local): 52.87%; Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit): 47.13%. For Iowa Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -3.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 17:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 17:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 17:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 21:14
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 21:15
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.60%E -5.61%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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