The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Cubs v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 23:38 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.31%41.10%41.10%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.302.3445.45%43.86%43.48%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 59.02%1.69fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -8.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%58.90%58.90%59.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.591.6163.69%62.94%62.89%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Cubs (Local): 40.98%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 59.02%. For Iowa Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -4.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.16%E -3.87%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 15:39
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.87%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 17:28
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 16:19
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 20:39
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -6.16%E -3.87%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 22:49
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.