The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Cubs v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 23:38 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Cubs (Local)

Prediction 50.66%1.97fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.663%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%50.52%51.06%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.871.882.0057.47%53.33%53.33%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 49.34%2.03fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.557%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%49.48%48.94%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.871.842.0557.47%53.44%54.35%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Cubs (Local): 50.66%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 49.34%. For Iowa Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV +1.33%E +0.663%K +1.33%G +0.018%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -14.15%E -8.13%K -19.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 18:55
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.21%E -0.619%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.19%E -6.22%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 22:08
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.23%E -1.69%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.71%E -5.31%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 22:07
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -3.74%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -10.21%E -5.61%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.78%E -2.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 23:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.39%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.72%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.81%E -4.89%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -6.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +1.14%E +0.557%K +1.09%G +0.012%6.3%2026-05-05 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.