Indianapolis Indians v Toledo Mud Hens

2026-07-09 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 47.04%2.13fair odd

EV -5.93%

Edge -2.96%

Kelly -5.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%47.16%47.02%47.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.941.982.002.0052%51%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 52.96%1.89fair odd

EV -5.72%

Edge -3.22%

Kelly -7.34%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.15%52.84%52.98%53.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.741.771.771.7857%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-09 15:05
theScore Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 15:06
BetOnline.ag	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 15:24
Bovada	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 16:33
1xBet	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-09 15:34
Betway	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-09 20:10
BetRivers	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.75%E -4.51%K -9.31%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-09 16:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.