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Indianapolis Indians v Toledo Mud Hens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indianapolis Indians (Local)
Prediction 47.04%2.13fair odd
EV -5.93%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.16%47.02%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.941.982.002.0051.55%50.51%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)
Prediction 52.96%1.89fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -7.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.15%52.84%52.98%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.7857.47%56.54%56.50%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 15:05 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 15:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 15:24 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 16:33 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-09 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-09 20:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.75%E -4.51%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-09 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.