The School of Odds

Indianapolis Indians v Toledo Mud Hens

2026-07-10 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.66%48.88%48.93%49.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.911.911.9353%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%51.12%51.07%51.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.811.831.831.8555%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 15:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:44
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:44
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 16:14
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.54%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 15:44
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.