Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians v Toledo Mud Hens

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 46.89%2.13fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.05%46.95%48.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0552.36%50.06%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 53.11%1.88fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.34%52.95%53.05%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.771.8158.82%56.86%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.71%E -5.71%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 21:04
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.35%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.52%E -3.71%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 22:44
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 22:42
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.99%E -3.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 20:49
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 22:44
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.16%E -3.62%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 22:44
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.44%E -5.47%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.