Indianapolis Indians v Toledo Mud Hens

2026-07-11 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd

EV -5.42%

Edge -2.63%

Kelly -5.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.33%45.80%45.91%46.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.042.052.0650%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 54.09%1.85fair odd

EV -5.34%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -7.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.48%54.20%54.09%54.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.701.731.741.7559%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.42%E -2.63%K -5.12%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-11 11:29
theScore Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-11 11:29
Caesars	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-11 11:41
BetOnline.ag	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-11 11:54
BetRivers	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.05%E -4.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-11 13:45
1xBet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-11 14:09
William Hill	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-11 11:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.