The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Indianapolis Indians v St. Paul Saints

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 42.77%2.34fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%43.26%42.26%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.60%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Paul Saints (Visit)

Prediction 57.23%1.75fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%56.74%57.74%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.611.7762.50%60.82%62.11%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indianapolis Indians (Local): 42.77%; St. Paul Saints (Visit): 57.23%. For St. Paul Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -14.46%E -7.23%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +1.29%E +0.731%K +1.68%G +0.022%6.5%2026-04-21 21:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 21:18
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.62%E -0.706%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 14:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:15
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 20:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.62%E -0.706%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 14:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.43%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.