The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Indianapolis Indians v Louisville Bats

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 46.02%2.17fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.18%46.73%45.19%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.042.082.1254.64%49.05%48.19%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 53.98%1.85fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +3.40%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%53.27%54.81%55.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.711.9159.88%57.60%58.65%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indianapolis Indians (Local): 46.02%; Louisville Bats (Visit): 53.98%. For Louisville Bats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.78%E -8.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.10%E +1.62%K +3.40%G +0.105%7.0%2026-04-10 20:34
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 21:27
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 20:25
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.24%E -4.85%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 20:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.78%E -5.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 20:45
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.86%E -5.90%K -14.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.