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Indianapolis Indians v Louisville Bats

2026-08-19 22:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 59.52%1.68fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -5.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.64%59.51%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6264.94%63.04%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Bats (Visit)

Prediction 40.48%2.47fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%40.36%40.49%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.332.4044.44%42.92%43.01%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Indianapolis Indians (Local): 59.52%; Louisville Bats (Visit): 40.48%. For Louisville Bats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -2.85%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.58%E -2.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.68%E -2.44%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 12:40
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 13:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 13:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.90%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.96%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.28%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 12:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.96%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.34%E -5.42%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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