Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians v Columbus Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Indians (Local)

Prediction 41.61%2.40fair odd
EV -0.960%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%41.51%41.14%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.262.252.3846.08%44.20%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 58.39%1.71fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%58.49%58.86%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.31%62.31%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indianapolis Indians (Local): 41.61%; Columbus Clippers (Visit): 58.39%. For Indianapolis Indians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.960%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.960%E -0.403%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.67%E -6.97%K -20.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 22:59
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.58%E -4.11%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 22:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 15:19
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-09 17:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.33%E -5.31%K -14.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 20:09
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 20:26
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -9.70%E -4.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -2.49%E -1.49%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.