The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gwinnett Stripers v Norfolk Tides

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 58.66%1.70fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -8.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.64%58.75%59.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.601.6263.69%62.33%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 41.34%2.42fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.82%41.36%41.25%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.262.252.3245.45%44.33%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwinnett Stripers (Local): 58.66%; Norfolk Tides (Visit): 41.34%. For Norfolk Tides (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -4.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.39%E -3.30%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 16:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 13:57
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.08%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 14:49
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 12:19
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-07 14:39
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV -8.63%E -3.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-07 11:59
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-07 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.