The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gwinnett Stripers v Nashville Sounds

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV +0.231%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.61%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.002.042.1053.48%50.06%48.90%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.39%52.00%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.731.8759.17%56.78%57.97%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwinnett Stripers (Local): 47.73%; Nashville Sounds (Visit): 52.27%. For Gwinnett Stripers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.095. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.231%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.231%E +0.110%K +0.210%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:25
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:04
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 15:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -11.66%E -6.90%K -16.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:25
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:35
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.