The School of Odds

Gwinnett Stripers v Memphis Redbirds

2026-07-11 22:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%46.89%46.95%47.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0051%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%53.11%53.05%53.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.7857%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 11:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:24
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:41
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 11:54
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:45
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.