Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%44.92%44.88%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.082.082.1049.02%48.16%47.96%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.08%55.12%55.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.711.711.7459.52%58.57%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 16:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 16:40
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 16:49
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.58%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.45%E -4.44%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 18:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-08 18:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 19:45
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.38%E -4.11%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.