Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers v Memphis Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.29%44.13%45.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.122.132.1548.54%47.14%46.84%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -7.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.79%55.71%55.87%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.681.691.7059.88%59.39%59.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:06
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:33
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.98%E -2.81%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:24
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 20:10
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.75%E -3.71%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 15:34
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.07%E -4.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.04%E -2.96%K -7.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.