The School of Odds

Gwinnett Stripers v Memphis Redbirds

2026-07-09 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.20%44.13%44.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.122.132.1548%47%47%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -8.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.32%55.80%55.87%56.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.681.681.6960%59%60%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:06
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.10%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:33
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.54%E -2.59%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.98%E -2.81%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.60%E -3.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:24
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.31%E -3.48%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 20:10
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.75%E -3.71%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 15:34
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.19%E -3.94%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.