The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gwinnett Stripers v Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwinnett Stripers (Local)

Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.50%55.73%56.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.681.7459.88%59.29%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)

Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%44.50%44.27%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1548.78%47.52%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwinnett Stripers (Local): 55.73%; Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit): 44.27%. For Gwinnett Stripers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -3.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.03%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 18:08
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.70%E -2.68%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 14:35
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:46
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.26%E -2.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:39
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.47%E -3.58%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 19:45
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.92%E -3.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.