The School of Odds
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El Paso Chihuahuas v Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-06-08 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 50.64%1.97fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%51.21%50.87%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.851.871.9159.17%54.02%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 49.36%2.03fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +2.42%
Kelly +4.55%
Growth +0.234%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%48.79%49.13%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.872.1355.56%52.94%53.48%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 50.64%; Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit): 49.36%. For Sugar Land Space Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -14.43%E -8.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +5.15%E +2.42%K +4.55%G +0.234%6.1%2026-06-07 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.82%E -3.13%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-07 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 23:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.86%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 00:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 13:57
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 14:47
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.81%E -2.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 14:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-07 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.