Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas v Salt Lake Bees

2026-08-16 00:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 53.13%1.88fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.34%53.05%56.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.771.8360.61%56.62%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salt Lake Bees (Visit)

Prediction 46.87%2.13fair odd
EV -0.642%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.573%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.77%46.66%46.95%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1252.36%49.75%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 53.13%; Salt Lake Bees (Visit): 46.87%. For Salt Lake Bees (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.12, with an expected value of -0.642%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.48%E -5.49%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:10
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:24
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -12.33%E -7.47%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -0.642%E -0.303%K -0.573%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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