The School of Odds

El Paso Chihuahuas v Sacramento River Cats

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%44.97%44.88%45.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.042.082.092.1049%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.03%55.12%55.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.711.711.7459%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 13:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 13:14
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 13:54
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.11%E -2.93%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:15
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.46%E -3.62%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 18:35
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:54
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.