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El Paso Chihuahuas v Round Rock Express

2026-08-21 00:35 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.05%46.95%47.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.002.002.0251.02%50.06%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 53.00%1.89fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.69%52.95%53.05%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.771.771.8156.82%56.34%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 47.00%; Round Rock Express (Visit): 53.00%. For Round Rock Express (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -4.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.06%E -2.25%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 13:59
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 13:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 13:25
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 13:27
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 18:39
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 14:12
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.89%E -4.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.71%E -3.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 14:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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