The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

El Paso Chihuahuas v Reno Aces

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 47.79%2.09fair odd
EV +7.04%
Edge +3.14%
Kelly +5.68%
Growth +0.400%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%47.39%47.48%51.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.932.2455.56%51.48%51.81%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reno Aces (Visit)

Prediction 52.21%1.92fair odd
EV +0.249%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.271%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.39%52.61%52.52%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.821.811.9261.73%55.06%55.10%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 47.79%; Reno Aces (Visit): 52.21%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +7.04%E +3.14%K +5.68%G +0.400%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -15.41%E -9.52%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 00:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.43%E -2.21%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.58%E -4.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.38%E -2.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.54%E -3.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.02%E -3.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 00:00
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 23:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.55%E -6.86%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.273%E -0.143%K -0.300%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:19
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -12.55%E -6.86%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -1.32%E -0.697%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -13.98%E -7.77%K -17.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +0.249%E +0.130%K +0.271%G +0.001%7.6%2026-06-17 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.