The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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El Paso Chihuahuas v Oklahoma City Comets

Kickoff: 2026-09-16 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 32.15%3.11fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.65%32.15%32.11%32.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.912.903.0035.09%34.38%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Comets (Visit)

Prediction 67.85%1.47fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -12.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.37%67.85%67.89%68.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.381.381.4073.53%72.33%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 32.15%; Oklahoma City Comets (Visit): 67.85%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -3.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 15:49
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -4.19%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 17:10
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.76%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 15:19
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.76%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 16:26
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.76%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 19:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -7.08%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.01%E -3.58%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.37%E -4.62%K -16.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 18:35
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.73%E -5.68%K -21.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.