The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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El Paso Chihuahuas v Las Vegas Aviators

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%38.10%37.58%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.492.502.5641.84%40.16%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aviators (Visit)

Prediction 62.04%1.61fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%61.90%62.42%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.511.5967.57%65.84%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 37.96%; Las Vegas Aviators (Visit): 62.04%. For Las Vegas Aviators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -2.83%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.94%E -4.62%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 15:25
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.18%E -5.53%K -17.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 16:23
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.73%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.32%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.18%E -5.53%K -17.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 21:39
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.18%E -5.53%K -17.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.35%E -0.851%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 23:16
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -9.28%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.