The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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El Paso Chihuahuas v Albuquerque Isotopes

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

Prediction 53.03%1.89fair odd
EV +6.05%
Edge +3.03%
Kelly +6.05%
Growth +0.366%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%52.27%53.05%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.772.0058.48%54.59%56.34%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit)

Prediction 46.97%2.13fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%47.73%46.95%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.921.982.0957.80%52.06%50.63%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local): 53.03%; Albuquerque Isotopes (Visit): 46.97%. For El Paso Chihuahuas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV +6.05%E +3.03%K +6.05%G +0.366%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -18.27%E -10.50%K -24.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +6.05%E +3.03%K +6.05%G +0.366%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -18.74%E -10.83%K -25.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:24
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.28%E +0.670%K +1.41%G +0.018%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.04%E -7.67%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 17:54
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -0.841%E -0.450%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -13.10%E -7.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 18:00
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:54
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 17:54
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 17:48
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.73%E -4.45%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -9.33%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.