The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Durham Bulls v Round Rock Express

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.686%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.77%47.68%46.95%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.042.1254.64%49.84%48.90%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Round Rock Express (Visit)

Prediction 52.14%1.92fair odd
EV -0.406%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.446%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.32%53.05%56.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.731.9160.61%56.82%57.97%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Durham Bulls (Local): 47.86%; Round Rock Express (Visit): 52.14%. For Durham Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV +1.46%E +0.686%K +1.30%G +0.019%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 18:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV +0.498%E +0.237%K +0.453%G +0.002%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -11.88%E -7.03%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 18:42
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -0.459%E -0.221%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 22:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.89%E -0.924%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.36%E -6.68%K -16.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 17:50
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -2.37%E -1.16%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.83%E -6.34%K -15.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 18:40
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.71%E -4.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.42%E -6.79%K -14.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.406%E -0.212%K -0.446%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 22:37
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.42%E -6.79%K -14.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.406%E -0.212%K -0.446%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.