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Durham Bulls v Norfolk Tides

2026-08-25 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 62.41%1.60fair odd
EV -0.763%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%62.14%62.41%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.501.5967.57%66.01%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk Tides (Visit)

Prediction 37.59%2.66fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%37.86%37.59%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.5641.67%40.00%39.92%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Durham Bulls (Local): 62.41%; Norfolk Tides (Visit): 37.59%. For Durham Bulls (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.59, with an expected value of -0.763%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.763%E -0.480%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 20:27
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.66%E -2.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 15:18
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.78%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.91%E -1.94%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 15:39
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.38%E -4.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 20:29
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.63%E -5.15%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 16:14
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.63%E -5.15%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.