The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Durham Bulls v Nashville Sounds

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 43.71%2.29fair odd
EV +0.531%
Edge +0.231%
Kelly +0.408%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%43.53%43.69%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.182.3048.78%46.06%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Sounds (Visit)

Prediction 56.29%1.78fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.47%56.31%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.671.7464.10%60.52%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Durham Bulls (Local): 43.71%; Nashville Sounds (Visit): 56.29%. For Durham Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.531%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV +0.531%E +0.231%K +0.408%G +0.002%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:49
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 19:37
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 19:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 19:50
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -5.59%E -2.59%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 19:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.40%E -5.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.05%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.