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Durham Bulls v Memphis Redbirds

2026-08-15 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.92%44.79%44.88%45.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.1248.78%47.76%47.62%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.29%55.21%55.12%56.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.711.7660.24%58.65%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Durham Bulls (Local): 44.91%; Memphis Redbirds (Visit): 55.09%. For Memphis Redbirds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.76, with an expected value of -3.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:19
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:59
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:02
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:28
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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