The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Durham Bulls v Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 42.86%2.33fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.27%42.78%42.86%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.192.202.2446.51%45.57%45.45%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit)

Prediction 57.14%1.75fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -6.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.22%57.14%57.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.641.631.6761.73%61.14%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Durham Bulls (Local): 42.86%; Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Visit): 57.14%. For Durham Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -4.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -6.29%E -3.83%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.72%E -3.46%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.57%E -2.74%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 21:10
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 20:29
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 21:39
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.43%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -6.86%E -4.21%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 21:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.43%E -4.59%K -11.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.