The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Durham Bulls v Gwinnett Stripers

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 52.24%1.91fair odd
EV +0.310%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.25%52.00%53.05%55.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.771.9258.48%55.69%56.50%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -0.192%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.00%48.00%46.95%51.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.962.002.0955.87%50.91%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Durham Bulls (Local): 52.24%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 47.76%. For Durham Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.310%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV +0.310%E +0.162%K +0.337%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -14.52%E -8.11%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 17:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.72%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 21:28
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.53%E -4.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.49%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 21:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.53%E -4.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.49%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 22:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -7.53%E -4.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -6.40%E -3.27%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.05%E -4.57%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.58%E -1.26%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -10.66%E -6.23%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -0.192%E -0.092%K -0.176%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.