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Durham Bulls v Gwinnett Stripers

2026-08-02 21:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Durham Bulls (Local)

Prediction 48.59%2.06fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.04%48.39%48.72%48.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.921.911.9752.63%52.02%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwinnett Stripers (Visit)

Prediction 51.41%1.95fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%51.61%51.28%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.821.8557.14%55.18%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Durham Bulls (Local): 48.59%; Gwinnett Stripers (Visit): 51.41%. For Durham Bulls (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.97, with an expected value of -4.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.04%E -5.74%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 17:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:29
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.21%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:54
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:54
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:40
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 15:15
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:24
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:09
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.44%E -3.54%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.