The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Columbus Clippers v Toledo Mud Hens

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers (Local)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.12%44.77%44.02%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.152.202.2452.36%46.57%45.45%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +2.95%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%55.23%55.98%57.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.631.8361.73%59.83%61.35%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Clippers (Local): 44.02%; Toledo Mud Hens (Visit): 55.98%. For Toledo Mud Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.93%E -8.34%K -17.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.45%E +1.34%K +2.95%G +0.072%7.0%2026-05-03 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:00
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:13
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -1.40%E -0.626%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -8.75%E -5.37%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:23
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.16%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:30
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.