The School of Odds
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Columbus Clippers v Toledo Mud Hens

2026-07-31 23:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers (Local)

Prediction 58.28%1.72fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.33%58.14%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.621.6363.69%61.97%61.73%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%41.67%41.86%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.232.242.3045.45%44.74%44.64%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Columbus Clippers (Local): 58.28%; Toledo Mud Hens (Visit): 41.72%. For Toledo Mud Hens (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -4.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.00%E -3.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.55%E -2.92%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:14
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 15:31
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.13%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.55%E -2.92%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 15:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 15:25
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.58%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:26
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 15:49
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.50%E -5.41%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.13%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.