The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Columbus Clippers v Toledo Mud Hens

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers (Local)

Prediction 42.98%2.33fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.00%43.06%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.192.202.2547.85%45.75%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 57.02%1.75fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%57.00%56.94%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.631.7163.69%60.98%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Clippers (Local): 42.98%; Toledo Mud Hens (Visit): 57.02%. For Toledo Mud Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -2.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.48%E -6.67%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 19:45
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.59%E -2.07%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 18:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.45%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:06
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.17%E -3.32%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.05%E -4.33%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.60%E -3.53%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.62%E -4.71%K -12.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -10.18%E -4.87%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -2.49%E -1.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.