Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers v Toledo Mud Hens

Kickoff: 2026-07-30 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers (Local)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV +13.86%
Edge +6.93%
Kelly +13.86%
Growth +1.92%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%56.72%56.92%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.672.0061.73%57.40%59.88%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Mud Hens (Visit)

Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%43.28%43.08%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.732.062.152.2157.80%48.65%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +13.86%E +6.93%K +13.86%G +1.92%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -25.49%E -14.73%K -34.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 14:09
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +8.74%E +4.57%K +9.60%G +0.839%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -21.18%E -11.57%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 15:54
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV +3.61%E +1.98%K +4.41%G +0.159%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -18.17%E -9.56%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 15:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -10.41%E -5.01%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 15:55
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 15:59
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 15:58
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.25%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.81%E -2.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 15:50
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.