Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers v Iowa Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers (Local)

Prediction 46.87%2.13fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.94%46.95%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0551.28%49.82%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 53.13%1.88fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.06%53.05%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.771.8058.82%57.24%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Clippers (Local): 46.87%; Iowa Cubs (Visit): 53.13%. For Columbus Clippers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -3.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 17:14
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -9.14%E -5.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 22:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 22:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.14%E -5.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.