Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers v Indianapolis Indians

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Clippers (Local)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.11%59.95%60.05%60.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.5965.36%63.58%63.69%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.43%40.05%39.95%40.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.342.352.4044.05%42.81%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Clippers (Local): 59.95%; Indianapolis Indians (Visit): 40.05%. For Indianapolis Indians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -3.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.94%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.48%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 16:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -9.08%E -4.00%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 19:24
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.