Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights v Rochester Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 23:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Knights (Local)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd

EV -5.61%

Edge -2.74%

Kelly -5.34%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.91%46.05%45.91%47.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.022.042.0551.28%49.44%48.90%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd

EV -5.04%

Edge -2.86%

Kelly -6.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.85%53.95%54.09%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.751.741.7657.47%57.31%57.47%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Knights (Local): 46.05%; Rochester Red Wings (Visit): 53.95%. For Rochester Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.76, with an expected value of -5.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-27 23:18
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-27 23:20
FanDuel🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-27 23:19
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-27 23:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.